
The answer is d) all of the above.
The mobile web is exploding with new devices daily and tech giants are battle for format dominance; the video content delivery format war is in full insult mode. Will HTML5 snuff out Flash? What format should your web site support to make sure all your great video content is ready to be consumed by a growing audience?
The answer is nothing new. Give the customer what they want and make sure they never have to interact with the technology in the background.
Switzerland May Be RightAt this point in the game, don’t waste time or money trying to choose exclusively between formats. Both Flash and other video/multimedia technologies will be around to compete against each other for many years to come (the next 10 at least). Content providers must focus on delivering what the customer is asking for. Supporting multiple platforms is a challenge, but there are flexible solutions, both free and subscription based, to delivering great content to all users.

Consider these two items when deciding how to serve up your video content; data and flexibility.
Data is You FriendEvery site records analytics that will tell you what technologies viewers are using to browse your site. I work with a particular site that shows 97 percent of visitors are using Windows, typically XP machines, viewing content via the Firefox or Internet Explorer browser. IE7 is the more popular of the two according to the data. Other sites will vary of course and data changes often, so I’ll continue to monitor the numbers. But in the case of this site, it’s obvious that I don't need to work hard to offer HTML5 support, as the vast majority of viewers are not using HTML5 enabled devices.
The vast majority of images and interactions are HTML/CSS and javascript based, so all users will be able to read and interact with the site's more static content. As for video content, this same site happens to use YouTube to deliver most of its video content. So if viewers start requesting video content in the HTML5 format, the demand could be met with nothing more than switching a YouTube preference. Pretty easy.
Stay FlexibleFor video content delivery, I recommend using a platform flexible enough to offer any technology your customers are demanding. In the paid delivery services arena,
Sorenson Media 360 can seamlessly deliver video content to Flash and non-Flash enabled desktops, laptops and other mobile devices. Free content delivery services such as YouTube and Vimeo are also beginning to offer the same delivery format flexibility. While interfacing with these services, the user won’t notice the technology working the background. As it should be, the user can simply enjoy the content your serving up on your site no matter the device they choose to use.
If you're delivering video via your hosting server, encode your videos using a iPhone compatible preset. You can play the video in a choice of flash players and the file will work with iPhone/iPad devices when served up embedded on a mobile version of the page. Again, both technologies are used to deliver great new video content to different users.
The bottom line is not to deploy a delivery system that is flexible enough to meet rapidly changing technology and consumer demands. It would be nice and easy if one format was king, but we don't live in a perfect world.
A Brave New World
One area of the format battle which doesn't get a lot of attention is the difference between mobile and desktop web consumption habits and potential markets. Do mobile and desktop web users have the same expectations? Will the mass market continue to be the wired big screen or will wireless devices offer the best audience? Will audiences pay for video content by the episode or will an advertising model continue to drive the money mechanics of video content creation?
We have yet to see a content producer making money pushing video content to mobile or any other new media venue. It seems with all the battles over advertising delivery systems that the traditional model of ad driven video content will stay in the future. The difference in the dynamics of delivering media to mobile devices may not carry over to users more interested in consuming content on the big screen.
Mobile media is a brave new world with lots questions and few answers. In the future, content providers should watch the consumption data and stay flexible. Position your professional video content to be ready to make a move when you see an opportunity. After all, if you can't make money or strengthen a message with your content; you can't afford to produce new media to meet new opportunities.